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temporal-validation

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Reproducible ML pipeline evaluating temporal leakage in Expected Pass Turnovers (xPT) models for football analytics. Compares 4 algorithms (mixed-effects logistic, penalised logistic, random forest, XGBoost) across leakage-inclusive and leakage-corrected feature sets. Supporting code for manuscript under review.

  • Updated Nov 29, 2025
  • R

Stage358: Signing-Time Validity Enforcement Layer with key lifecycle temporal verification, Stage357 receipt binding, validity-window checks, revocation-time checks, and fail-closed temporal decisions.

  • Updated Jun 26, 2026
  • Python

Code, curated data, and frozen outputs for 'Where and when a molecular property model can be trusted': random-forest disagreement ranks activity-model error in distribution, degrades unevenly under temporal shift, and should not be used as a conservative acquisition rule. Every reported number is machine-verified.

  • Updated Jul 31, 2026
  • Python

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