Publish the XvB delivery study (sanitized public record) - #901
Merged
Conversation
The complete study record — IMRAD paper with its full adversarial corrections trail, figures, every analysis script, checksummed archives of all external sources, and the public winners-feed schedule snapshots. Wallet-correlating raw data (payout records, experiment log, per-wallet observer dumps, crawl results) is deliberately withheld; PAPER.md §6 documents the split, and the method reproduces for any wallet from public data alone. Lint carve-outs for research/: verbatim records and archived third-party sources are exempt from house-voice, markdownlint list styles, shfmt and ruff — they must stay byte-identical to the archived originals. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This file contains hidden or bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters.
Learn more about bidirectional Unicode characters
Sign up for free
to join this conversation on GitHub.
Already have an account?
Sign in to comment
Add this suggestion to a batch that can be applied as a single commit.This suggestion is invalid because no changes were made to the code.Suggestions cannot be applied while the pull request is closed.Suggestions cannot be applied while viewing a subset of changes.Only one suggestion per line can be applied in a batch.Add this suggestion to a batch that can be applied as a single commit.Applying suggestions on deleted lines is not supported.You must change the existing code in this line in order to create a valid suggestion.Outdated suggestions cannot be applied.This suggestion has been applied or marked resolved.Suggestions cannot be applied from pending reviews.Suggestions cannot be applied on multi-line comments.Suggestions cannot be applied while the pull request is queued to merge.Suggestion cannot be applied right now. Please check back later.
The complete research record of the XvB raffle delivery study (Jun–Aug 2026): IMRAD paper with its full adversarial-corrections audit trail (23 numbered corrections), three figures, every analysis script, checksummed archives of all 17 external sources, and the public winners-feed schedule snapshots.
Headline: across 25 on-chain-audited won rounds, delivered prize work measured 33.1% of advertised (95% CI 28–39%), with at most a small donation-margin effect; a 14-winner public crawl corroborates (no winner near face value). The advertised figure is, per the operator's own archived page wording, a nominal donor aggregate — not a per-winner delivery commitment.
Privacy: wallet-correlating raw data (payout records, experiment log, per-wallet observer dumps, crawl results) is deliberately withheld — PAPER.md §6 documents the split, and the method reproduces for any wallet from public data alone (winners feed + the three p2pool.observer instances).
Lint:
research/is carved out of house-voice, markdownlint list styles, shfmt and ruff — verbatim records and archived third-party sources must stay byte-identical to their checksums.🤖 Generated with Claude Code