XvB decision table: measured study estimates beside XvB's published figures - #900
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Replaces the per-tier comparison dropdown with a single decision table — the analytical tool a miner chooses a direction with. Every donor tier on one row: draw odds from the live winners feed, cost at the box's own rate, XvB's published figure shown AS XvB's (face value, never blended), the study estimate beside it, and a coloured net verdict. Unsustainable tiers stay visible but flagged with the net withheld. The study estimate is the published figure x the measured delivery band: across 25 audited won rounds, verified on-chain across all three P2Pool sidechains (Jun-Aug 2026), winners received 32% of the advertised prize work (bootstrap 95% CI 27-38%), regardless of donation margin — a controlled experiment pinning the credited margin at 2.1-2.5x the round minimum measured a +2pp margin effect (zero). A 14-winner / 83-slot public-winners crawl corroborates (per-winner median ~44%, pooled 48% with a known upward bias; no winner near face value). Delivery equals realization because payout of delivered work measured complete. XVB_REALIZATION_PRIOR (0.27, 0.38) supersedes the retracted (0.24, 0.42) two-era payout band. A wallet's own measured wins still supersede the prior once >=5 exist (column flips to "Yours (N% x M wins)"). Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
…), restore spliced test, add colour/stale coverage The closing adversarial pass caught: a stale-dump glob in the study that had manufactured a false zero round (endpoint recomputed: all-25 delivery 33.1% [28, 39], clean-8 37.6% [28, 53], margin effect +5pp with overlapping CIs); the band, tooltip and docs now carry those figures with single-wallet-audit + crawl-corroboration wording. Also restores the CadenceCard test an editing splice deleted, adds green/zero-spanning verdict fixtures and a stale-estimates degradation test, and fixes two views docstrings. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This was referenced Aug 13, 2026
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This was referenced Aug 14, 2026
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Reworks the XvB tier calculator into the analytical tool a miner decides with, per the delivery study's final results.
What changed
XvB saysandStudy est.side by side, and a coloured net verdict (red = loses even at the optimistic end; green = profits even at the pessimistic end). Unsustainable tiers stay visible, flagged ⚠, net withheld.XVB_REALIZATION_PRIOR = (0.27, 0.38)supersedes the retracted (0.24, 0.42).Yours (N% × M wins).Net −138 lines.
Testing
xvbDecisionRowsunit tests (study band, measured override, face fallback, sustainability gating, no-coeff degradation); component render tests for the table, both column modes, verdict colours, ⚠ flagging. Full suite green, patch coverage 100%, lint + docs voice clean; docs/dashboard.md rewritten for the table.🤖 Generated with Claude Code