Decouple ACS weeks carriers from unemployment (greens weeks_unemployed incidence) - #768
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MaxGhenis wants to merge 4 commits into
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Decouple ACS weeks carriers from unemployment (greens weeks_unemployed incidence)#768MaxGhenis wants to merge 4 commits into
MaxGhenis wants to merge 4 commits into
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Decouple ACS weeks carriers from unemployment compensation (battery burndown, stacked on #742)
The weeks_unemployed incidence red (ratio 0.031 vs band [0.8, 1.25]) traced to an erroneous coupling of ACS weeks carriers to unemployment-compensation carriers. This PR removes the coupling, adds the regression and a SHA-pinned replay predicting the corrected ratio (1.00067), and the cold 1% host build confirms it: physical battery failures 114 → 113 vs the pkg3 base, the weeks incidence leg green, zero regressions (committed evidence: experiments/battery_burndown_residual_evidence.md).
Also adjudicated in the lane, with citations: adult care, unemployment-compensation QED, and Schedule D were already resolved by #742; SSI incidence traces upstream to countable-income distributions with no calibrated surface owned here.
Suite green per commit; no tuning; no builds from the lane (host queue evidence only).
Authored by sol; verified and graduated by Claude.
🤖 Generated with Claude Code