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the race bullet quoted one reading of a jittery rate - #2817

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fix/race-bullet-range
Oct 5, 2026
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fix/race-bullet-range

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The bullet said Solana "scores 254" races an hour. Five consecutive 15-minute windows read 203, 25, 46, 37, 186, so 254 was one sample of something that swings by a factor of eight. A race needs two feeds to report the same pool trade, which is a sparse coincidence, so the jitter is the quantity's nature rather than a fault.

Replaced with the order of magnitude plus the comparison that actually carries the claim: it is back to the rate it ran at before the token-scoped feeds arrived.

Two numbers from #2809 that were wrong

Not in published copy, so recorded here rather than editable there:

  • "Mobula was first on 85 of the 109 pool trades it reported, about 78%" used the matched-only denominator, which omits ahead_of_reference. On the actual races it is 114 of 415, about 27.5% — which is what the page publishes, and what the fix was always about: it was 0.08%.
  • "~1,200 trades on the bench pool" came from the same mistake and was corrected in award the first past the single-participant return, and correct the pool figure #2812.

The fix itself is unaffected

OKX took 5 firsts in 415 Solana races after the filter, against 75,151 an hour before it. Checked for over-correction too: the four pool-scoped feeds are unchanged (351 vs 360 samples/h, -2%) and hold 97% presence over 24h, so the filter is not starving the column.

What I am NOT claiming: the exact percentages. At 415 races across three regions (~138 each) serialized's 83% carries roughly ±7 points, and the share window is in-memory and refilling since the last redeploy. Directionally settled, not precise yet.

pnpm validate: 235 specs valid. The bullet went over the 500 character cap twice before fitting.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

It said Solana scores 254 races an hour. Five consecutive 15-minute windows
read 203, 25, 46, 37 and 186, so 254 was one sample of something that swings
by a factor of eight. A race needs two feeds to report the same pool trade,
which is a sparse coincidence, so the jitter is the quantity's nature rather
than a fault.

Replaced with the order of magnitude and the comparison that actually
carries the claim: it is back to the rate it ran at before the token-scoped
feeds arrived.

Two numbers from the #2809 commit message and PR body are also wrong, and
recorded here since they are not in published copy and cannot be edited
there:

  "Mobula was first on 85 of the 109 pool trades it reported, about 78%"
  used the matched-only denominator, which omits ahead_of_reference. On the
  actual races the figure is 114 of 415, about 27.5%, which is what the page
  publishes and what the fix was always about: it was 0.08%.

  "~1,200 trades on the bench pool" came from the same mistake and was
  already corrected in #2812.

The defect and the fix are unaffected: OKX took 5 firsts in 415 Solana races
after the filter, against 75,151 an hour before it.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
@Flotapponnier
Flotapponnier merged commit bc061c2 into main Oct 5, 2026
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Flotapponnier added a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 5, 2026
From #2817: the bullet quoted one reading (254 races an hour) of a rate that
swings between 25 and 203 across consecutive windows. Now states the order of
magnitude and the comparison that carries the claim.

The worker clones dev at BUILD time, so the methodology reaches the page from
here.

pnpm validate: 235 specs valid.

Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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